The “curse of the bye” revisited
This article is originally published at https://nsaunders.wordpress.com
A while ago we looked at Geelong and the curse of the bye. And since the AFL media have outdone themselves this year with “curse of the bye” articles: see for example here, here, here and here, I decided to revisit the topic in more depth.
If you like that kind of thing head over to the report at Github. It has lots of charts like this one.
![](https://nsaunders.files.wordpress.com/2023/07/post-bye-unexpected-02-1.png?w=720)
Executive summary: once you take into account scheduling and expected results, there’s little if any evidence for significantly more losses coming off a bye round. I doubt that will prevent the same spate of articles next season.
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This article is originally published at https://nsaunders.wordpress.com
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