The “curse of the bye” revisited

This article is originally published at https://nsaunders.wordpress.com

A while ago we looked at Geelong and the curse of the bye. And since the AFL media have outdone themselves this year with “curse of the bye” articles: see for example here, here, here and here, I decided to revisit the topic in more depth.

If you like that kind of thing head over to the report at Github. It has lots of charts like this one.

Executive summary: once you take into account scheduling and expected results, there’s little if any evidence for significantly more losses coming off a bye round. I doubt that will prevent the same spate of articles next season.

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This article is originally published at https://nsaunders.wordpress.com
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